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Rethinking ROI in the Age of AI

Rethinking ROI in the Age of AI

Consumer Insights & Activation Consumer Insights & Activation, Data Analytics, Data Strategy & Advisory, Measurement 6 min read
Profile picture for user Suzanne Taylor

Written by
Suzanne Taylor
Group Director, Paid Search

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What Rethink ROI Means for Lead Gen Marketers

AI is expanding how people research, compare, and evaluate solutions, but the technology alone will not create sustainable growth. Advertisers still need to connect demand creation, campaign optimization, CRM outcomes, and business measurement across the full lead to sale journey.

Google organized its lead gen guidance around stronger data, bidding aligned to business goals, broader AI-powered coverage, and budgets that can respond to profitable demand. Those levers are useful, but their value depends on the strategy beneath them. If a platform only sees a form submission, it will optimize for more form submissions. If it can distinguish a qualified opportunity and a closed sale, it has a more meaningful outcome to pursue.

For marketers, the larger takeaway is that automation cannot compensate for weak signals, an incomplete customer journey, or a plan that relies only on harvesting existing demand. The strongest programs will give AI better business outcomes to learn from while continuing to create the future demand that lower-funnel media needs.

Lower Funnel Media Cannot Carry the Full Growth Plan

Paid search remains one of the strongest channels for capturing existing intent. That strength can also create an unrealistic expectation that lower-funnel media should produce unlimited growth at the same efficiency. Eventually, the available pool of high-intent demand reaches a ceiling. Increasing budgets or expanding automation does not remove that constraint if the broader marketing plan has stopped creating new consideration.

AI-powered experiences make this dynamic more important. Consumers are more informed than ever before as they move through their buying journey. They can ask detailed questions, compare products, and build category knowledge before they visit an advertiser’s website, speak with sales, or search for a specific brand. By the time the final query appears, earlier interactions may have already shaped the decision. 

Manny Delamota, Director at Monks, connects this shift in consumer behavior to the need for relevant messaging and measurement. “The ‘super-empowered consumer,’ as Google coined it, now has all this information at their disposal, decision-making has really shifted. Getting in front of them with the right messaging and proper tracking is more important than ever.”

Video, Demand Gen, thought leadership, and category education can build familiarity and give prospective consumers a reason to consider the brand later. The goal is accountable awareness—connecting these investments to observable changes in branded search, engaged site traffic, qualified opportunities, pipeline, and closed revenue.

When marketers can connect that upstream demand to downstream sales, the line between brand and performance begins to blur. Demand creation is no longer treated as a separate expense, and paid search is no longer judged only by the leads it captures at the end of the journey. Both contribute to the same growth system. That connection helps teams invest with more confidence, improve returns across the funnel, and continue growing after lower-funnel efficiency reaches its natural limit.

What this means for marketers: Plan demand creation and demand capture together. Define the downstream signals that will show whether earlier media increased the volume or quality of the opportunities that Search later converts.

ThinkROI Google

Data Quality Sets the Ceiling for AI Performance

Google’s emphasis on building Data Strength was one of the most practical takeaways from the event. For lead gen advertisers, that means reliable sitewide tagging, connected first-party data, clear conversion definitions, and offline outcomes flowing back from the CRM. 

Ezra Sackett, Director of Paid Search, highlights why connecting those signals to business outcomes matters: “Marketing and finance haven’t spoken the same language for too long. Clicks, impressions, and even leads and CPL don’t make it to the board meetings. Google is making big investments in their data and bidding algorithms that more closely drive bottom-line revenue and profit. Google’s doing their part with improved infrastructure like Google Tag Gateway and Enhanced Conversions. Now it’s the advertisers’ turn to send back high-quality sales data to steer the algorithms to success.”

That responsibility extends beyond tracking the initial form submission. Qualified leads, sales accepted opportunities, closed sales, and revenue provide a better picture of value than lead volume alone. Once those stages are reliable, advertisers can assign values that reflect their relative business impact and use value-based bidding to prioritize the outcomes that matter most.

More data is not automatically better data. Duplicate leads, inconsistent CRM stages, missing source information, and long upload delays can teach automated bidding the wrong version of success. A simple, timely signal tied to a well-defined business outcome can be more useful than a large collection of events that the organization does not trust.

What this means for marketers: Treat measurement infrastructure as part of media strategy. Media, analytics, marketing operations, sales operations, and finance should align on the lead-stage definitions, values, and upload timing that connect campaign optimization to business performance before expanding automation.

Bidding and Coverage Should Follow Business Value

Google’s Rethink ROI framework encourages advertisers to align Smart Bidding with business goals, use AI-powered campaign types to expand coverage, and keep budgets flexible enough to capture profitable demand. For lead gen marketers, the order matters. Broader reach should follow a reliable definition of lead quality, not substitute for one. Manny Delamota, a Director of Paid Search at Monks, notes, “Search is evolving, and people are no longer just putting basic search queries that we can anticipate with an exact match or phrase match variation. They're having full-on conversations, and the best way to capture that intent will be through adopting a proper AI-powered campaign strategy.”

AI Max and Performance Max can identify relevant demand beyond a manually managed keyword set, while native lead formats can reduce friction for prospects who are ready to engage. That added reach can help programs scale, but it can also magnify weak conversion definitions. A campaign optimized toward every form fill may produce more activity without producing more pipeline.

Flexible budgets should follow the same principle. Teams need enough room to respond when the platform identifies profitable demand, but budget flexibility should remain grounded in marginal return, lead quality, sales capacity, and the brand’s financial goals. Removing an arbitrary daily constraint is useful only when the next dollar is still expected to create business value.

What this means for marketers: First establish a trustworthy downstream outcome. Next, align bidding to that value, test broader coverage, and use budget flexibility where incremental spend continues to produce qualified pipeline.

ThinkROI Google V2

ROI Needs a Longer View

Immediate efficiency metrics remain useful, but they create blind spots when treated as the complete answer. A low cost per lead can look efficient even when those leads rarely qualify or progress. A campaign that introduces the brand may appear weak in a last click report while increasing the number of people who later search, return, and enter the sales process.

Google highlighted measurement capabilities intended to make those earlier influences more visible, including attributed brand searches, lead-to-sale journey mapping, geo experiments, and Qualified Future Conversions. These tools can help marketers build a stronger case for demand creation, but platform measurement should remain one input rather than the sole basis for investment decisions.

A broader ROI framework should combine platform performance with CRM outcomes and incremental measurement. Depending on the brand, that may include qualified opportunity rate, pipeline value, win rate, customer acquisition cost, closed revenue, assisted conversions, branded search, geo testing, or marketing mix modeling (MMM). The measurement window should reflect the actual sales cycle, even when it extends beyond a monthly or quarterly reporting period.

What this means for marketers: Give each data source a clear job. Use platform data to optimize campaigns, CRM data to judge lead quality and revenue, and incrementality or MMM to guide broader budget allocation.

Human Strategy Still Steers the System

As AI takes on more targeting, bidding, forecasting, and creative decisions, campaign setup becomes less of a differentiator. The advantage shifts to the inputs that require business judgment: defining a valuable customer, identifying the demand a brand should pursue, deciding which outcomes deserve more weight, and choosing the evidence needed to prove incremental growth.

This also changes the role of marketers and agency partners. The work extends beyond managing platform settings. Teams need to translate platform recommendations into business decisions, validate them against CRM and sales feedback, and recognize when an efficient looking outcome does not support the brand’s growth goals. An automated system can optimize efficiently toward a target without knowing whether the target itself is strategically sound.

What this means for marketers: Use AI to accelerate analysis and execution, while keeping people accountable for the strategy, guardrails, and business definition of success.

What Brands Should Do Next

1. Map the complete lead journey: Document the path from first engagement through qualification, opportunity, and closed revenue. Identify where lead status, source information, or value is lost.

2. Improve the feedback loop: Choose the deepest reliable outcome that can be sent back to the platform. Fix duplicate records, inconsistent stages, and upload delays before adding more signals.

3. Align bidding and budgets to value: Assign relative values to meaningful lead stages, then test value-based bidding and broader campaign coverage. Allow budgets to flex where incremental spend continues to generate qualified demand.

4. Protect investment in demand creation: Give mid and upper-funnel media enough time and investment to influence consideration. Agree on the downstream indicators and test design before judging performance.

5. Establish a measurement hierarchy: Use platform reporting, CRM outcomes, and independent measurement for the questions each can answer best. Set the evaluation window around the client’s real sales cycle.

While automating campaign decisions is a clear benefit, AI's true opportunity lies in connecting the system directly to how the business grows. When marketers can link upstream demand to qualified pipeline and closed sales, brand and performance investments can be evaluated as parts of the same journey. That is how teams improve returns without exhausting the demand they need for future growth.

Discover how AI is reshaping lead generation and ROI, from smarter bidding and better data quality to demand creation and measuring real business growth. marketing roi google Google Analytics Google Analytics 360 Google Assistant Marketing ROI Measurement promotional ROI modeling Data Analytics Data Strategy & Advisory Measurement Consumer Insights & Activation

Hey Google, Fix My Marriage

Hey Google, Fix My Marriage

5 min read
Profile picture for user mediamonks

Written by
Monks

Hey Google, Fix My Marriage

There’s no denying that Google Assistant is useful for simple, everyday needs that keep users from having to reach for a phone. But what if it could provide more value-added experiences, becoming more intuitive and human-like in the process? Are we that far away from the kind of assistant depicted in Spike Jonze’s Her?

One of the greatest inhibitors of adoption of voice is that natural language isn’t ubiquitous, and functionality is typically limited to quick shortcuts. According to Forrester, 46% of adults currently use smart speakers to control their home, and 52% use them to stream audio. Neither of these use cases are necessities, nor are they very unique. Looking beyond shortcuts and entertainment value, we sought to experiment with Google Assistant to highlight a real-world utility that offers more human-like interactions. Think less in terms of “Hey Google, turn on the kitchen lights,” and instead something more like “Hey Google, fix my marriage.”

That’s not a joke; by providing a shoulder to cry on or a mediator who can resolve conflicts while keeping a level head, our internal R&D team MediaMonks Labs wanted to push the limits of Google Assistant to see what kind of experiences it could provide to better users’ lives and interpersonal relationships.

Who would have thought that a better quality of conversation with a machine might help you better speak to other humans? “Most of the stuff on the Assistant is very functional,” says Sander van der Vegte. “It’s almost like an audible button, or something for entertainment. The marriage counselor is neither, but could be implemented as a step before you look for an actual counselor.”

Why Google Assistant?

Google Assistant is an exciting platform for voice thanks to its ability to be called up anytime, anywhere through its close integration with mobile. “Google Assistant is very much an assistant, available to help at any moment of time,” says Joe Mango, Creative Technologist at MediaMonks.

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But still, the team felt the platform could go even further in providing experiences that are unique to the voice interface. “Right now, considering the briefings we get, most of the stuff on the assistant is very functional,” says Sander van der Vegte, Head of MediaMonks Labs. “It’s designed to be a shortcut to do something on your phone, like an audible button. This marriage counselor has a completely different function to it.”

The Labs team took note when Amazon challenged developers to design Alexa skills that could hold meaningful conversations with users for 20 minutes, through a program called the Alexa Prize. It offered an excellent opportunity to turn the tables and challenge the Google Assistant platform to see how well it could sustain a social conversation with users, resulting in a unique action that requires the assistant to use active listening and an empathetic approach to help two users see eye to eye.

Breaking the Conversation Mold

As you might imagine, offering this kind of experience required a bit of hacking. To listen and respond to two different people in a conversation, the assistant had to free itself from the typical, transactional exchange that voice assistant dialogue models are designed for. “We had to break all the rules,” says Mango—but all’s fair in love and war, at least for a virtual assistant.

A big example of this is a novel use of the fallback intent. By design, the fallback intent is a response the assistant provides to users when they make a query that isn’t programmed to a response—usually something as simple as asking the user to try to state their request in another way.

But the marriage counselor uses this step to pass the query along to sentiment analysis with Google Cloud API. There, the statement is scored on how positive or negative it is. Tying this score to a scan of the conversation history for applicable details, the assistant can pull a personalized response. This allows both users to speak freely through an open-ended discussion without being interrupted by errors.

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What does such an interaction look like? When a couple tested the marriage counselor action, one user mentioned his relationship with his brothers: some of them were close, but the user felt that he was becoming distant from one of them. In response, the assistant chimed in to remind the user that it was good that he had a series of close relationships to confide in. Its ability to provide a healthy perspective in response to a one-off comment—a comment not even about the user’s romantic relationship, but still relevant to his emotional well-being—was surprising.

The inventive use of the platform allows the assistant to better respond to a user’s perceived emotional state. Google is particularly interesting to experiment with thanks to its advanced voice recognition models; it built the sentiment analysis framework used within the marriage counseling action, and Google’s announcement of Project Euphonia earlier this year, which makes voice recognition easier for those with speech impairments, was a welcome sight for those seeking to make digital experiences more inclusive. “At MediaMonks, we’re finding ways to creatively execute on these frameworks and push them forward,” said Mango.

Giving Digital Assistants the Human Touch

But the marriage counselor action is more focused on listening rather than speaking, allowing two users to hash it out and doling out advice or prompts when needed. A big part of this process is emotional intelligence. Humans know that the same sentence can have multiple meanings depending on the tone used—for example, sarcasm. Another example might be the statement “Only you would think of that,” which could be viewed as patronizing or a compliment given the tone and context.

Monk Thoughts At MediaMonks, we’re finding ways to creatively execute on these frameworks and push them forward.

While the assistant currently can’t understand tone of voice, a stopgap solution was to enable it to parse meaning with through vocabulary and conversational context—helping the assistant understand that it’s not just what you say, but how you say it. This is something that humans pick up on naturally, but Mango drew on linguistics to provide the illusion of emotional intelligence.

“If the assistant moves in this direction, you’ll get a far more valuable user experience,” says van der Vegte. One example of how emotional intelligence can better support the user outside of a counseling context would be if the user asks for directions somewhere in a way that indicates they’re stressed. Realizing that a stressed user who’s in a hurry probably doesn’t want to spend time wrangling with route options, the action could make the choice to provide the fastest route.

Next Stop: More Proactive, Responsive Assistants

“There’s always improvements to be made,” says Mango, who recognizes two ways that Google Assistant could provide even more lifelike and dynamic social conversations. First, he would like to see the assistant support emotion detection through more ways than examining vocabulary. Second, he’s like to make the conversation flow even more responsive and dynamic.

Sentiment

“Right now the conversation is very linear in its series of questions,” he says. But in a best-case scenario, the assistant could provide alternative paths based on user response, customizing each conversation to respond to different underlying issues that the marriage counselor might identify is affecting the relationship.

But for now, the team is excited to tinker and push the envelope on what platforms can achieve, inspired by a sense of technical curiosity and the types of experiences they’d like to see in the world. “It speaks a lot to the mission of what we do at Labs,” said Mango. “We always want to push the limitation of the frameworks out there to provide for new experiences with added value.”

As assistants become better equipped to listen and respond with emotional intelligence, their capabilities will expand to provide better and more engaging user experiences. In a best-case scenario, an assistant might identify user sentiment and use that knowledge to recommend a relevant service, like prompting a tired-sounding user to take a rest. Such an advancement would allow brands to forge a deeper connection to users by providing the right service at the right place in time. While Westworld-level AI is still far off in the distance, we’ll continue chatting and tinkering away at teaching our own bots the fine art of conversation—and we can’t wait to see what they’ll say next.

Voice assistants have been life changing for some users, but they can go to even further lengths in providing rich, valuable conversational experiences. The next big leap in conversational AI may be emotional intelligence, and MediaMonks Labs set out to achieve just that. Hey Google, Fix My Marriage Checking the weather or a sports score is nice, but can a smart speaker save your marriage? We’re working on it.
Google Assistant Alexa skills Google actions sentiment analysis emotional intelligence AI artificial intelligence conversational interface

Transitioning Voice Bots from ‘Book Smart’ to ‘Street Smart’

Transitioning Voice Bots from ‘Book Smart’ to ‘Street Smart’

5 min read
Profile picture for user Labs.Monks

Written by
Labs.Monks

Interest has grown significantly in voice platforms over the years, and while they have proved life-changing for the visually impaired or those with limited mobility, for many of us the technology’s primary convenience is in saving us the effort of reaching for a phone. Yet we anticipate a future in which voice platforms can provide more natural experiences to users beyond calling up quick bits of information. This ambition has prompted us to look for new ways to provide added value to conversations, making smart use of the tools readily available by organizations leading the charge in consumer-facing voice assistant platforms.

The primary challenge in unlocking truly human-like exchanges with virtual assistants is that their dialogue models are best fit for transactional exchanges: you say something, the assistant responds with a prompt for another response, and so on. But we’ve found that brands that are keen on taking advantage of the platform are looking for a more than a rigid experience. “There are plenty of requests from clients about assistants, who are under the impression that the user can say whatever,” says Sander van der Vegte, Head of MediaMonks Labs. “What you expect from a human assistant is to speak open-ended and get a response, so it’s natural to assume a digital assistant will react similarly.” But this conversation structure goes against the grain for how these platforms typically work, which means we must find new approaches that better accommodate the experiences that brands seek to provide their users.

Giving Digital Assistants the Human Touch

One way to make conversations with voice assistants more human-like is to empower them with a distinctly human trait: emotional intelligence. MediaMonks Labs is experimenting with this by developing a Google Assistant action that serves as a marriage counselor that uses sentiment analysis to draw out the intent and meaning behind user statements.

Monk Thoughts This is the first step down an ongoing path for deeper, richer conversation.

“If the assistant moves in this direction, you’ll get a far more valuable user experience,” says van der Vegte. One example of how emotional intelligence can better support the user outside of a counseling context would be if the user asks for directions somewhere in a way that indicates they’re stressed. Realizing that a stressed user who’s in a hurry probably doesn’t want to spend time wrangling with route options, the action could make the choice to provide the fastest route.

As assistants become better equipped to listen and respond with emotional intelligence, their capabilities will expand to provide better and more engaging user experiences. In a best-case scenario, an assistant might identify user sentiment and use that knowledge to recommend a relevant service, like prompting a tired-sounding user to take a rest. Such an advancement would allow brands to forge a deeper connection to users by providing the right service at the right place in time. While Westworld-level AI is still far off in the distance, we’ll continue chatting and tinkering away at teaching our own bots the fine art of conversation—and we can’t wait to see what they’ll say next.

Monk Thoughts We can learn to speak more effectively to an AI, just like how AI learns to speak to us.

To better understand what this looks like, consider how two humans effectively resolve a conflict. Rather than accuse someone of acting a certain way, for example, it’s preferable to use “I messages” about how others’ actions make you feel, so the other party doesn’t feel attacked. So whether you begin a statement with “you” (accusatory) or “I” (garnering empathy) can have a profound impact on how others invested in a conflict will respond. Likewise, our marriage counseling action analyzes the vocabulary and inflection in two users’ statements to dole out relationship advice to them. Responses are focused not just on what they say but how they say it.

“We can learn to speak more effectively to an AI, just like how AI learns to speak to us,” says Joe Mango, Creative Technologist at MediaMonks. According to him, users have been conditioned to speak to bots in, well, robotic ways through their experience with them. “When we had someone from our team test the action by simply speaking to it, he wasn’t sure what to say at first.”

Sentiment

Speaking a New Language

The action takes a large departure from the standard conversational setup with a voice bot. Rather than have a back-and-forth chat with a single user, the action listens attentively as two users speak to one another. Allowing Google Assistant to pull off such a feat gets at the heart of why so few actions provide such rich conversational experiences: the inherent limitations of the natural language processing platforms that power them. For example, the Google Assistant breaks conversation down into a “you say this, I say that”-style structure that limits the amount of time it opens the microphone to listen to a user response.

Monk Thoughts We always want to push the limitation of the frameworks to provide new experiences and added value.

Conventional wisdom surrounding conversational design shies away from “wide-focus” questions, encouraging developers to be as pointed and specific as possible so users can answer in just a word or two. But we think breaking out of this structure is not only feasible, but capable of providing the next big step in richer, more genuine interactions between people and brands. “It speaks a lot to the mission of what we do at Labs,” said Mango. “We always want to push the limitation of the frameworks out there to provide for new experiences with added value.”

What does such an interaction look like? When a couple tested the marriage counselor action, one user mentioned his relationship with his brothers: some of them were close, but the user felt that he was becoming distant from one of them. In response, the assistant chimed in to remind the user that it was good that he had a series of close relationships to confide in. Its ability to provide a healthy perspective in response to a one-off comment—a comment not even about the user’s romantic relationship, but still relevant to his emotional well-being—was surprising.

Screen Shot 2019-01-31 at 10.23.54 AM
Screen Shot 2019-01-31 at 10.35.13 AM

Next Stop: More Proactive, Responsive Assistants

While the action is effective, “It’s just the first step down an ongoing path to support more dynamic sentence structures and deeper, richer conversation,” says Mango. While the focus right now is on inflection and vocabulary, future iterations of the action could draw on users’ tone of voice to glean their sentiment even more accurately. From there, findings from this experiment aid in providing other voice apps a level of emotional intelligence that helps organizations engage with their audience in even more human-like ways.

Voice assistants have been life changing for some users, but they can go to even further lengths in providing rich, valuable conversational experiences. The next big leap in conversational AI may be emotional intelligence. Transitioning Voice Bots from ‘Book Smart’ to ‘Street Smart’ Checking the weather or a sports score is nice, but can a smart speaker save your marriage? We’re working on it.
Google Assistant Alexa skills Google actions sentiment analysis emotional intelligence AI artificial intelligence conversational interface

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